Why are the Carney Liberals the favourites to win this election if it was held today?

What advanced modeling can tell us about what's driving the Liberal Party's support

In this second week of the federal campaign, the question on many people’s minds is why the Liberals—under their new leader and Prime Minister, Mark Carney—seem poised for re‑election. Our latest polling suggests they’re currently the favourites to clinch another victory. But beyond public sentiment, we also have some more advanced analytical tools that…